An analysis of patient-level primary care data shows that antibiotic prescribing for upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs) increased in England in the 2 years after COVID-19 lockdown measures were implemented, researchers reported late last week in JAC-Antimicrobial Resistance.
Using IQVIA data on patients who were diagnosed as having a URTI at general practices in England from April 2014 through May 2022, researchers with the UK Health Security Agency, IQVIA, and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine conducted an interrupted time series analysis to compare antibiotic prescribing for URTI consultations before and during the pandemic. They identified 518,859 patients with at least one URTI consultation during the study period, 50.7% of whom received an antibiotic.
Results revealed that antibiotic prescribing rates for URTI consultations were decreasing before the pandemic. But there was an immediate, significant increase of 105.7 antibiotic items per 1,000 URTI consultations at the beginning of the pandemic, which corresponded to a 27% increase compared with the predicted value for April 2020 had pre-pandemic trends continued. A significant increase in prescribing during the pandemic was seen across all subgroups, with the greatest increase observed in patients aged 12 to 17 years. The increases were mostly sustained to May 2022.
We recommend that other countries consider conducting similar analyses.
Although overall consultation rates for URTI declined substantially in England following the introduction of measures to reduce the spread of COVID-19, the authors note that telephone consultations rose by 270%, and they suggest that the diagnostic uncertainties arising as a consequence of conducting remote clinical assessments may have resulted in more clinicians being likely to prescribe antibiotics for URTIs. But they say the persistent increase in prescribing seen through May 2022 is concerning.
"We recommend that other countries consider conducting similar analyses to assess the impact of the pandemic on antibiotic prescribing," they wrote. "Future studies should consider investigating consultation setting on prescribing rates, and patient and prescriber attitudes."