Southern Hemisphere flu activity is winding down, and data show that the 2024 season was similar to the region’s earlier flu seasons, a reminder that the virus can cause significant public health impact, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said in an overview yesterday.
Though it's important to consider Southern Hemisphere flu activity ahead of the upcoming US flu season, the CDC emphasized that patterns there don't always predict how the season will unfold in the United States. Differences in predominant flu viruses and population immunity can contribute to regional variations, it added.
Mix of subregional flu patterns
In the Southern Hemisphere, flu activity this season varied by virus strain, severity, and timing. In South America, H3N2 was the main strain, and Argentina, Chile, and Uruguay had an early start to their seasons. Chile's activity was very high, and Chile, Ecuador, and Uruguay had high levels of severe disease.
In contrast, H1N1 was dominant in the African region, with Zambia reporting an early start to the season and very high levels of illness and severe disease. Activity continues—now mostly from influenza B—in South Africa and Zambia.
H3N2 was predominant in the Oceania region. The timing of Australia's season was similar to pre-COVID years and similar to its 2023 flu season. Flu activity reached the moderate level and has been decreasing in recent weeks, though several areas are seeing upward trends.
The Southern Hemisphere's flu season typically runs from April through September, but it can sometimes extend into October or November, the CDC said.
"Vaccination remains the best defense against flu and even if vaccination does not prevent the risk of flu entirely, it can help reduce the severity of flu illness in people who get flu despite being vaccinated," the CDC said "In the United States, September and October are generally good times to be vaccinated against flu."