A World Health Organization (WHO) advisory group set up in September to examine the impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants on vaccine performance laid out a framework today for assessing updated versions of COVID-19 vaccines, and the experts urged manufacturers to gather and share data on how well current and variant-specific vaccines hold up.
In other developments today, WHO officials in Europe warned that Omicron (B.1.1.529) activity is expanding eastward, carrying the biggest threats to countries with low vaccination levels. And South African researchers said Omicron spreads more easily from asymptomatic people, part of what's likely driving its exponential spread.
Options for vaccine updates
In a statement today, the WHO's COVID-19 vaccine composition advisory group said broader access to current vaccines is needed—to both primary doses and booster shots—to help curb the emergence and impact of new variants of concern.
They added, however, that COVID-19 vaccines that prevent infection and transmission, alongside those that prevent severe illness and death, are needed and should be developed.
The group also said that ideally vaccines should provide broad, strong, and durable protection to avoid the need for successive booster doses. Options include monovalent vaccines against circulating variants, multivalent vaccines against different variants, and a universal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine that would protect against all current and future variants.
Until such vaccines are available, current vaccines may need to be updated to provide recommended protection levels against Omicron, as well as future variants, the group said.
Europe's Omicron surge moving east
At a briefing today, the head of the WHO's European regional office said Omicron is like a tidal wave moving from west to east on top of an earlier Delta variant surge. Hans Henri Kluge, MD, MPH, said Europe's cases doubled over the past 2 weeks, quickly becoming dominant in the region's western countries and now spreading in the Balkans.
A forecast from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation predicts that, at this rate, more than 50% of Europe's population will become infected with Omicron over the next 6 to 8 weeks.
Death levels are still stable but are highest in countries with high COVID-19 activity but low vaccination levels, he said.
Due to the unprecedented illness numbers, COVID-19 hospitalizations are rising, challenging and threatening to overwhelm health systems, Kluge said. "Once again, the greatest burden of responding to this pandemic is being carried by our health and care staff, and other essential frontline workers. They also carry the highest exposure to the virus."
Robust asymptomatic Omicron spread
Findings from two clinical trials in South Africa suggest that the Omicron variant is linked to a much higher rate of asymptomatic spread than earlier variants, which may help explain its rapid spread, even in populations that were hard hit in earlier COVID-19 surges. Both are preprint studies and not yet peer-reviewd.
One that looked at the effectiveness of the Moderna vaccine in the first half of December found a 31% positivity rate, much higher than the 1% to 2.4% the researchers saw before Omicron.
The other, part of the larger Sisonke study, examined people who had receive the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, finding an asymptomatic carriage rate of 16% during Omicron circulation, compared with 2.6% during outbreaks involving earlier variants.
More global headlines
- Brazil's health ministry officials said today that Omicron has become the country's dominant variant, according to Reuters.
- The World Bank today said the global economy is entering a slowdown due to new threats from COVID-19 variants, as well as rises in inflation, debt, and income inequality that threaten the recovery of emerging and developing countries. It also said the slowdown in growth is due to dissipating pent-up demand for products and expiring fiscal and monetary supports.
- BioNTech and its partner InstaDeep have developed and tested a computational method that they say can more quickly analyze worldwide sequencing data to identify SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern. During the trial period, the Early Warning System developed by the two companies ranked Omicron as high-risk the same day its sequence was available. The system also found that the IHU (B.1.640.2) variant detected in France—classified by the WHO as a variant under monitoring in November—has immune escape properties similar to Omicron but is significantly less fit.
- The global total today rose to 312,273,593 cases, and 5,501,266 people have died from their infections, according to the Johns Hopkins online dashboard.