US COVID-19 activity is on the decline following a short summer surge.
According to the most recent data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), two key early indicator metrics—the rate of test positivity and emergency department (ED) visits—continue to fall. Test positivity dropped to 6.7% for the week ending September 27, down from 9.6% the previous week, while the percentage of ED visits diagnosed as COVID-19 fell from 1.0% to 0.7%. ED visits have been highest in children ages 0 to 4 years.
Indicators of severity are down, as well. The hospitalization rate per 100,000 population was 1.2, down from 2.2 the previous week, with hospitalizations elevated in people age 65 and older. The percentage of deaths due to COVID-19 was 0.8%, the same as the prior week.
XFG variant still predominant
Wastewater monitoring indicates that the XFG variant—one of several offshoots of the JN.1 subvariant—accounts for 85% of all sequenced viruses, followed by NB.1.8.1 (7%) and NW.1 (3%).
CDC data on other respiratory illness, including flu and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), have not been updated because of the federal government shutdown.