
A study conducted within a university health system found a greater proportion of inappropriate antibiotic prescribing for respiratory conditions during the winter months, researchers reported today in Antimicrobial Stewardship & Healthcare Epidemiology.
In the study, researchers from the University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine analyzed antibiotic prescriptions for office visits for respiratory tract diagnoses (RTDs) at 32 primary care practices within the University of Pennsylvania Health System from July 2016 through June 2017. RTDs were ranked by the likelihood that an antibiotic was indicated (tier 1: always indicated; tier 2: sometimes indicated; tier 3: rarely indicated).
The objectives were to determine the appropriateness of antibiotic prescribing by season and to determine whether seasonal variation in the rate of prescribing was associated with inappropriate use and provider characteristics.
A total of 89,627 unique RTD visits were analyzed, 38,537 (43%) of which occurred in the summer and 51,090 (57%) in the winter. A significantly greater proportion of RTD visits had an antibiotic prescribed in winter (40.2%) compared with summer months (30.4%) (standardized difference, 0.21), and the proportion of inappropriate antibiotic prescribing was higher in winter compared with summer months (72.4% vs 62%), suggesting that the wintertime increase may be driven by inappropriate prescribing.
In particular, the researchers observed that a greater proportion of winter visits had an antibiotic prescribed for tier 2 RTDs (80.2% vs 74.2%) and tier 3 RTDs (22.9% vs 16.2%) compared with visits during summer months.
'Decision fatigue' may be a factor
The study authors say the findings could potentially be explained by decision fatigue, suggesting that the quality of clinicians' decisions about antibiotic prescriptions may decline in winter months as visits for RTDs increase. But other prescriber and patient characteristics may also play a role.
"More investigation is needed to determine the factors influencing seasonal variations in diagnosis coding and in antibiotic prescribing patterns," they wrote. "A better understanding of seasonal variation in antibiotic prescribing for RTDs may facilitate antibiotic stewardship interventions."