
Yesterday JAMA Internal Medicine published a study of more than 200,000 US veterans infected with COVID-19 demonstrating that the excess mortality risk from acute infection diminished within 6 months of initial diagnosis.
The study was based on health record data from 208,061 patients seen at Veterans Affairs hospitals for initial COVID-19 infections from March 2020 to April 2021. Mortality outcomes among case-patients were compared to 1,037,423 matched uninfected peers.
Of the veterans with COVID-19, 46,902 (22.5%) were hospitalized within 7 days of their infection; 12,626 (1.2%) comparators were also hospitalized.
Initial death rate almost 9%
Though the unadjusted mortality rate for veterans with COVID was 8.7% during the 2-year period after the initial infection, compared with 4.1% among uninfected comparators, adjusted analyses showed the hazard ratio for death dropped by 180 days post-infection, or 6 months.
The risk of excess death was highest on days 0 to 90 after infection (adjusted hazard of death ratio [aHR], 6.36; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6.20 to 6.51) and declined on days 91 to 180 (aHR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.23).
"Those who survived COVID-19 had lower mortality (greater survival rates) on days 181 to 365 (aHR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.89-0.95), and 366 to 730 (aHR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.85-0.92) than their matched comparators," the authors wrote. "The mortality rate by day 730 was 0.81% among Veterans who survived COVID-19 through day 365, in contrast with 0.94% among their comparators in the same interval."
The authors said this study adds complexity to the understanding of how COVID-19 affects long-term health.
"These results may suggest that for ongoing care after COVID-19, especially among those not initially hospitalized for COVID-19, efforts that focus on increasing survival may be less relevant than approaches addressing the needs of individual survivors," the authors concluded.